2025 CFP: Alabama Crimson Tide vs Oklahoma Sooners Opening Odds: Cover or Not?

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Auburn Tigers

Alabama may have lost the SEC Championship game but it did not lose them a place in the College Football Playoff. The Crimson Tide has been assigned a rematch with Oklahoma. Despite the Tide losing to the Sooners just weeks ago and having this new game take place in Norman, FanDuel has opening odds of Alabama being favored by 1.5 with an Over/Under of 40.5. The game takes place on Friday, Dec 19 which gives the Tide almost two weeks to heal up.

OKLAHOMA

The Sooners sat at home on Saturday as the SEC Championship raged on.

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DATE OPP CLOSE RESULT ATS/OU
Aug 30 Illinois State -40.5 / 60.5 Won 35-3 Lost / Under
Sep 6 Michigan -4.5 / 43.5 Won 24-13 Won / Under
Sep 13 @Temple -23.5 / 50.5 Won 42-3 Won / Under
Sep 20 Auburn -6.5 / 47.5 Won 24-17 Won / Under
Oct 4 Kent State -46.5 / 53.5 Won 44-0 Lost / Under
Oct 11 @Texas +2.5 / 44.5 Lost 6-23 Lost / Under
Oct 18 @South Carolina -4.5 / 42.5 Won 26-7 Won / Under
Oct 25 Ole Miss -4.5 / 52.5 Lost 26-34 Lost / Over
Nov 1 @Tennessee +3 / 55.5 Won 33-27 Won / Over
Nov 15 @Alabama +6.5 / 46.5 Won 23-21 Won / Under
Nov 22 Missouri -4.5 / 42.5 Won 17-6 Won / Under
Nov 29 LSU -12.5 / 36.5 Won 17-13 Lost / Under

The Sooners have gone UNDER on the OVER/UNDER on all but two games this season. They are 7-5 against the spread. Okie scored 17 points in each of their last two games, versus Missouri and LSU, both played at home.

ALABAMA

The Alabama defense has been pretty stellar all season. Most of the scoring they have given up in 2025 has been after the offense and/or special teams put them in tough positions.

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DATE OPP CLOSE RESULT ATS/OU
Aug 30 @Florida State -13.5 / 47.5 Lost 17-31 Lost / Over
Sep 6 Louisiana-Monroe -34.5 / 49.5 Won 73-0 Won / Over
Sep 13 Wisconsin -18.5 / 45.5 Won 38-14 Won / Over
Sep 27 @Georgia +2.5 / 53.5 Won 24-21 Won / Under
Oct 4 Vanderbilt -12.5 / 57.5 Won 30-14 Won / Under
Oct 11 @Missouri -3 / 51.5 Won 27-24 Push / Under
Oct 18 Tennessee -9.5 / 61.5 Won 37-20 Won / Under
Oct 25 @South Carolina -12.5 / 47.5 Won 29-22 Lost / Over
Nov 8 LSU -10 / 49.5 Won 20-9 Won / Under
Nov 15 Oklahoma -6.5 / 46.5 Lost 21-23 Lost / Under
Nov 22 Eastern Illinois -50.5 / 57.5 Won 56-0 Won / Under
Nov 29 @Auburn -7 / 48.5 Won 27-20 Push / Under
Dec 6 Georgia +1.5 / 48.5 Lost 7-28 Lost / Under

Alabama is 7-4-2 against the spread. The Tide has gone under the point total five straight games and nine of the last ten times. They have not scored more than 29 points in a game since the Tennessee game in October.

MATH

With an over/under of 1.5 and 40.5 point spread, the final score could look something like BAMA 21, OK 20. Does that sound about right? Check back for any spread or O/U changes.

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